Comments on: Stopping for Milk and Red Lights http://www.dailynetworker.co.uk/2008/07/21/stopping-for-milk-and-red-lights/ Oli Barrett is your Daily Networker Tue, 06 Jan 2009 05:34:27 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.5.1 By: Jeremy Gould http://www.dailynetworker.co.uk/2008/07/21/stopping-for-milk-and-red-lights/#comment-137 Jeremy Gould Tue, 22 Jul 2008 22:23:19 +0000 http://www.dailynetworker.co.uk/?p=33#comment-137 Glad you like it! Of course, you can update RTM via Twitter too which is great for when you're out and about. Glad you like it! Of course, you can update RTM via Twitter too which is great for when you’re out and about.

]]> By: Richard McKeever http://www.dailynetworker.co.uk/2008/07/21/stopping-for-milk-and-red-lights/#comment-129 Richard McKeever Tue, 22 Jul 2008 10:52:06 +0000 http://www.dailynetworker.co.uk/?p=33#comment-129 Oli - Your traffic light insight reminded me of some half-remembered research into the different ways rural and urban children cross the road. Rural kids tended to think the safest place to cross was exactly half way between the car just passed and the next one coming - whilst street-smart urban kids know the best bet is to nip across immediately behind a moving car. Local knowledge and understanding the context - as always - make for better decisions... particularly when getting to the other side in one piece is so vital. Oli - Your traffic light insight reminded me of some half-remembered research into the different ways rural and urban children cross the road.

Rural kids tended to think the safest place to cross was exactly half way between the car just passed and the next one coming - whilst street-smart urban kids know the best bet is to nip across immediately behind a moving car.

Local knowledge and understanding the context - as always - make for better decisions… particularly when getting to the other side in one piece is so vital.

]]> By: On forecasts « Opencast Project - a blog http://www.dailynetworker.co.uk/2008/07/21/stopping-for-milk-and-red-lights/#comment-125 On forecasts « Opencast Project - a blog Mon, 21 Jul 2008 21:12:02 +0000 http://www.dailynetworker.co.uk/?p=33#comment-125 [...] On forecasts Published July 21, 2008 Uncategorized Tags: Add new tag, Lateral thinking Inspired by a blog of Oli Barrett. [...] [...] On forecasts Published July 21, 2008 Uncategorized Tags: Add new tag, Lateral thinking Inspired by a blog of Oli Barrett. [...]

]]> By: Charlie Hoult http://www.dailynetworker.co.uk/2008/07/21/stopping-for-milk-and-red-lights/#comment-124 Charlie Hoult Mon, 21 Jul 2008 21:08:45 +0000 http://www.dailynetworker.co.uk/?p=33#comment-124 My grandfather was an actuary, so a professional mathematician in the insurance industry predicting probability of life expectancy. In a cruel irony, he died by looking the wrong way on Tottenham Court Road, which forecasters will know is a one-way street. He confirmed that nothing was coming in the direction he checked and stepped into the road. Only to have a truck confirm that he had looked the wrong way and flatten him. Was this what forecasters might call a 'Black Swan Moment'? I prefer to imagine that, coming in from Suffolk for the day, he'd been aghast at London crowds that summer day. Forecasters need to stick with the streets they know. My grandfather was an actuary, so a professional mathematician in the insurance industry predicting probability of life expectancy. In a cruel irony, he died by looking the wrong way on Tottenham Court Road, which forecasters will know is a one-way street. He confirmed that nothing was coming in the direction he checked and stepped into the road. Only to have a truck confirm that he had looked the wrong way and flatten him.

Was this what forecasters might call a ‘Black Swan Moment’? I prefer to imagine that, coming in from Suffolk for the day, he’d been aghast at London crowds that summer day.

Forecasters need to stick with the streets they know.

]]>